New Report Says Trade Finance Not to Be Feared

4489_image001The International Chamber of Commerce (ICC) today issued Global Risks – Trade Finance 2013 providing a timely, accurate and comprehensive outlook on the risks in trade finance from the global trade finance industry’s perspective.

Based on data from ICC’s Trade Register, a comprehensive online database of over 15 million transactions provided by 21 banks, the new report shows that trade finance is a relatively low-risk asset class that should not be feared by financial institutions, nor over-regulated by governments.

In relation to comparable corporate default rates, the trade register data recorded a lower level of defaulted transactions adding weight to the hypothesis that trade finance transactions enjoy a lower than average likelihood of default. For medium- and long-term Export Credit Agency (ECA)-backed transactions, a similarly relative low risk is observed.

The ICC Trade Register contains data reflecting no less than 60-65% of traditional global trade finance activity, worth approximately US$2-2.5 trillion. Data reveals fewer than 1,800 defaults were made across close to 8.1 million short-term trade finance transactions. This equates to an approximate 0.02% default rate on a transaction basis. Consolidating the volume of trade and export finance and the likelihood of default for trade and export finance products, the ICC Trade Register is vital to crafting fair regulations necessary for a well-functioning global trading and banking system.

“The ICC Trade Register has been instrumental in fostering dialogue with regulators on a global scale. The integrity of the data is proven and is a strong incentive for other banks to participate,” said Pascal Lamy, director general of the World Trade Organization.

Kah Chye Tan, chair of the ICC Banking Commission and global head of trade and working capital at Barclays said: “I hope that by focusing on the critical connections between default levels in trade finance and the shaping of new regulatory recommendations, decision-makers will be able to engage collectively in efforts to improve the global financial system’s overall resilience.”

Read more, and download a copy of Global Risks – Trade Finance 2013, on the ICC website.

Staff contact: Eva Hampl

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At Paris Dialogue OECD Seeks Business Input on Obstacles to Trade

USCIB’s Rob Mulligan at the OECD International Business Dialogue
USCIB’s Rob Mulligan at the OECD International Business Dialogue

The OECD International Business Dialogue 2013, held earlier this month in Paris in partnership with BIAC, the Business and Industry Advisory Committee to the OECD, brought together government officials and business representatives from OECD member countries, as well as major emerging economies, to identify the most pressing obstacles to international trade and contribute to informed policymaking based on first-hand insights.

As part of the dialogue, the OECD asked companies to complete a survey entitled, “What are the obstacles that your company faces in doing business internationally?” The survey is available here. Results will be made available in April.

USCIB Senior Vice President Rob Mulligan presented dialogue participants with the key findings of a recent study commissioned by USCIB and the Business Roundtable on the emergence of global supply networks as key platforms for international trade and investment. He said governments have a lot to do in terms of facilitating cross-border commerce if they want to avoid standing in the way of their own countries’ potential economic progress.

“Many governments don’t seem to recognize that the way companies do business globally has changed over the last 10-15 years, or they are intentionally trying to turn the clock back on current business models,” Mulligan said. “Our member companies are encountering policies and practices in many countries that seek to limit their ability to move goods and services across borders. These policies make it more difficult for companies to build and utilize the supply networks that are critical to their growth.”

The chairman of the International Chamber of Commerce, Gerard Worms, discussing ICC’s Open Market Index, which rates countries on their openness to international trade and investment, said that government authorities equipped with better information on their country’s market performance were better able to honor commitments on open trade and investment and resist taking protectionist measures to “protect” domestic industries and jobs.

“While G20 leaders play a key role in ensuring that governments around the world work collectively to lower trade barriers and stimulate growth and job creation, the Open Markets Index reveals that rather than leading by example, most G20 countries achieve only average scores for openness,” said Worms. “In particular, high-growth BRIC economies tend to perform below average on most measures of openness.” Read more on ICC’s website.

U.S. business delegation visits OECD

BIAC Chairman Charles Heeter and OECD Secretary General Angel Gurria speak with the visiting American business delegation.
BIAC Chairman Charles Heeter and OECD Secretary General Angel Gurria speak with the visiting American business delegation.

Later in the month, BIAC Chairman Charles Heeter (Deloitte), who also serves on USCIB’s board, led a delegation of executives from primarily American companies to Paris to meet with OECD officials and learn more about the organization’s work, priorities and interface with the business community.

Over two days, the delegation discussed broad global economic challenges and the OECD’s work related to the G20, as well as OECD initiatives in the areas of tax, trade, the Internet, corporate governance and energy.

All told, executives from some three dozen companies took part in the delegation.

Staff contact: Rob Mulligan

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News Brief High Standards Needed in U.S. – China Investment Treaty

Columbia University’s Vale Center has published a short essay by Shaun Donnelly, USCIB’s vice president for investment and financial services, presenting the business case for a high-standards U.S.-China bilateral investment treaty (BIT). The essay appears in the center’s journal Columbia FDI Perspectives and is available by clicking here.

Donnelly’s piece responds to an earlier essay in the journal by Karl Sauvant and Huipeng Chen advocating a different approach toward the China BIT negotiations. He argues that it is essential to get a comprehensive, high-standard BIT with China, with meaningful market-opening liberalization as well as strong investor-state dispute resolution provisions, and not to settle for a quick compromise with lower protections just for the sake of getting a deal. Donnelly argues that both the U.S. and Chinese governments – as well as their respective business communities – need the strong protections and dispute-settlement provisions one can only get in a high-standard, 21st-century BIT.

USCIB is actively working to promote member views in the context of the U.S.-China BIT negotiations, and views a high-standards BIT as a key element in USCIB’s 2013 trade and investment agenda.

Staff contact: Shaun Donnelly

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WTO Aims to Strengthen Contacts With the Business Community

L-R: ICC’s Stefano Bertasi, the WTO’s Keith Rockwell and Evian Group’s Carlos Braga
L-R: ICC’s Stefano Bertasi, the WTO’s Keith Rockwell and Evian Group’s Carlos Braga

At a February 21 event organized for the business community at the World Trade Organization’s Geneva headquarters, the WTO announced the results of a recent survey of businesses and launched a dedicated web area for business on the WTO website. It also launched an electronic newsletter targeted specifically at the private sector.

At the event, Stefano Bertasi, policy director at the International Chamber of Commerce (ICC), for which USCIB serves as American affiliate, provided an update on ICC’s World Trade Agenda initiative, and Carlos Braga of the Evian Group gave his perspective on the relations between business and the WTO.

“This meeting is the first of what we hope will be a series of encounters between the WTO and the business community through which we hope to strengthen our dialogue and our interaction,” said Keith Rockwell, the WTO’s director of information and external relations.

USCIB recently released its own 2013 trade and investment agenda, which is complementary to ICC’s initiative and focuses on completing trade agreements with Asia and Europe, moving forward with strong new bilateral investment treaties, including with China and India and revitalizing work in the WTO. USCIB’s agenda also aims to address new regulatory challenges around the world that bear on market access for U.S. trade and investment, including preferential treatment for state-owned enterprises and efforts by governments to impose forced localization requirements on companies as conditions for market access.

The aim of the new WTO web page is to make key information for the private sector, such as trade statistics and trade monitoring news, easily accessible in one dedicated area. The newsletter, which will be issued on a regular basis, includes the latest business-focused trade news from the WTO. It will be circulated electronically to all business representatives who register online.

Staff contacts: Rob Mulligan

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ICC website

EU Tax Commissioner Briefs Members on Planned Tobin Tax

L-R: European Union Taxation Commissioner Algirdas Semeta, EU Ambassador to the United Nations Ioannis Vrailas, USCIB Executive Vice President Ronnie Goldberg
L-R: European Union Taxation Commissioner Algirdas Semeta, EU Ambassador to the United Nations Ioannis Vrailas, USCIB Executive Vice President Ronnie Goldberg

On February 22, USCIB members met with the European Union’s commissioner for taxation, customs union, audit and anti-fraud, Algirdas Semeta,  at the EU Mission to the United Nations in New York. The meeting was chaired by EU Head of Delegation Ioannis Vrailas, and the commissioner was welcomed by USCIB Executive Vice President Ronnie Goldberg.

Commissioner Semeta spoke in detail about the debate regarding the EU’s proposed financial transactions tax (FTT) directive, for which a report was released on February 14, as well as the Commission’s views on a global approach to an FTT.

Saying the Commission believes that financial institutions should contribute to the cost of economic recovery, Commissioner Semeta stated that the FTT would also discourage speculative transactions that he said contributed to the financial crisis. He reviewed the more than 40-year policy debate over the FTT – nicknamed the “Tobin tax” after one of its early proponents, economist James Tobin – noting that a principle argument against the tax has been that it cannot be done if it cannot be implemented globally.

The Commission agrees that global implementation is best, he said, but that this is not possible at the present time, and that an FTT can be designed on a regional level. The place a financial transaction takes place is irrelevant; what is important is who trades with whom. The commissioner warned that neglecting the market of the 11 countries poised to adopt the FTT would not be a rewarding model, especially since they represent 90 percent of the eurozone and one-sixth of the global marketplace.

Commissioner Semeta also discussed corporate taxation and answered questions from participants on additional taxation topics as well as customs union.

Staff contacts: Justine Badimon, Carol Doran Klein

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Business Gearing Up for G20 Summit

4433_image002Preparations for this year’s Group of 20 Summit, which takes place September 5-6 in Saint Petersburg, Russia, are well underway, with last year’s Mexican hosts essentially handing off to Russia in December. USCIB is working with all three of our affiliated global business bodies to advance a positive private-sector agenda at the summit, which will again feature a high-level business component known as the B20.

The International Chamber of Commerce is a leading member of the B20 organizing group, which is working with Alexander Shokhin, president of the Russian Union of Industrialists and Entrepreneurs, to facilitate business input to the summit. ICC plans to hold a number of preparatory events through its 30-member G20 Advisory Group – whose members include USCIB Chairman Terry McGraw
of McGraw-Hill and USCIB Trustee Andrew Liveris of Dow – and has published an informative update on its G20 activities.

Focus on apprenticeships

Both the International Organization of Employers and the Business and Industry Advisory Committee to the OECD are also taking part in preparations for the B20, with a special remit to engage with governments on labor and employment policy. As part of this, the two organizations have forged a joint initiative on apprenticeships as a follow-up to the Mexico B20 business commitments on employment. In December, they released an initial overview of national initiatives to promote apprenticeships and internships.

Building on their findings, IOE and BIAC plan to create a global company network for apprenticeships, with the aim of facilitating exchange of information and joint action, increasing the visibility of companies’ engagement in vocational education and training, and fostering dialogue with policy makers and other actors at the national and international level.

IOE and BIAC will again spearhead business representation to the G20 Labor Ministerial, which takes place July 18 in Moscow.

In addition, USCIB members met in Washington on January 31 with Fabrizio Pagani, head of the OECD’s “Sherpa” office for G20 and G8 affairs, to discuss OECD contributions to the G20 Summit and related matters. OECD Secretary General Angel Gurria participates in the G20 Summit along with the heads of several other international agencies.

 

Natural Gas Exports: Seeking Synergy Between Environment, Energy and Trade Policy

A tanker transporting liquefied natural gas
A tanker transporting liquefied natural gas

In the context of current discussions about the export of liquefied natural gas from the United States, we believe that fundamental principles of environmental, energy and trade policy that USCIB has supported over the years remain relevant.

USCIB has long championed expanded trade and investment, and the elimination of barriers to global commerce, including in the energy sector, under a rules-based system, and we support established WTO rules limiting export and import bans. Erecting new barriers to LNG exports would run counter to our past positions and efforts by the American business community to discourage restrictions by other countries.

Throughout our work to promote international cooperation on climate change and energy security, USCIB has advocated keeping all energy options on the table in the transition to a greener economy. In that connection, we have underscored the critical importance of open trade as a means to disseminate cleaner technologies and energy options, and have signaled the adverse environmental impacts of export bans.

Increased domestic supplies of natural gas are already providing a competitive edge for many U.S.-based manufacturers, with positive impacts on jobs both in the energy sector and in the economy as a whole. Many observers, including the International Energy Agency, predict that the United States will become a net energy exporter, which would have major economic and geopolitical ramifications. Additionally, there is potential for natural gas, with its much lower climate footprint, to surpass coal as the world’s number-two energy source.

We appreciate the concerns voiced about LNG exports, including the potential for increased U.S. energy costs, and these concerns should not be taken lightly. As U.S. companies operate in global markets, they need access to affordable and sustainable energy in order to remain competitive. With wise policy choices, the domestic energy revolution has the potential to bring major economic and environmental advantages to the U.S. business community, and to U.S. citizens.

More on USCIB’s Trade and Investment Committee

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New International Services Negotiations to Be Launched

4424_image002Last week, U.S. Trade Representative Ron Kirk informed Congress that the Obama administration plans to enter into negotiations for a new international agreement on trade in services. With negotiations encompassing the United States and 20 other countries soon to be launched in Geneva, the initiative is one of a number of “plurilateral” efforts expected to be undertaken in the wake of failure to make meaningful progress toward completing the Doha Round.

According to USTR, the negotiation partners account for nearly two-thirds of global trade in services. In his letter to lawmakers, Kirk cited a recent Peterson Institute for International Economics study estimating that tradable services are five times less likely to be exported than manufactured products. The U.S. is the world’s largest service provider.

“This is an important new initiative, and one we will be following closely at USCIB,” said Rob Mulligan, USCIB’s senior vice president for Washington. “Services are an enormous and growing part of our economy and our overall trade. The opportunities to drive U.S. economic growth and jobs through a services plurilateral are quite significant.”

Mulligan said advancing the new services talks would be an important objective in USCIB’s trade and investment policy agenda for 2013. Other top priorities include concluding the Trans-Pacific Partnership talks, starting negotiations on a U.S.-EU trade and investment agreement, addressing forced localization regulations and expanding product coverage under the WTO Information Technology Agreement.

Among the other parties expected to take part in the talks are Canada, the European Union, Japan, Korea and Mexico. One country that is not an initial party to the negotiations is China. In 2006, USCIB and the United States Council Foundation published a study on U.S.-China trade in services, which foresaw growing export opportunities for services. According to USTR, the U.S. had a services trade surplus with China of $13 billion in 2011.

“Obviously, the opportunities in China and other emerging markets are tremendous,” said Mulligan. “But we understand and appreciate the need to work with like-minded countries to achieve the most ambitious liberalization possible. Hopefully other countries would join a services agreement down the road.”

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Latest U.S.-China Joint Commission on Commerce and Trade

4416_image002The 23rd session of the U.S.-China Joint Commission on Commerce and Trade (JCCT) concluded in Washington, D.C. on December 19.  Established in 1983, the JCCT is the main forum for addressing bilateral trade and investment issues and promoting commercial opportunities between the United States and China.

The latest forum was chaired by U.S. Trade Representative Ron Kirk, Acting Secretary of Commerce Rebecca Blank and Chinese Vice Premier Wang Qishan. Representatives from 25 Chinese government agencies also participated, as did U.S. Ambassador to China Gary Locke
and U.S. Secretary of Agriculture Tom Vilsack.

According to Ambassador Kirk’s office, despite advancements on some key issues – such as addressing concerns on intellectual property rights, agreeing on the elimination of significant regulatory obstacles impeding U.S. exports and securing meaningful steps toward China’s accession to the WTO Government Procurement Agreement – there is still much work to be done to ensure that China’s market is open to American exports and investment.

The U.S. and Chinese governments also signed agreements related to enhancing understanding and measurement of bilateral trade, and increasing the numbers of reverse trade missions, which support China’s continued development while creating more U.S. exports and jobs.

According to Justine Badimon, USCIB’s manager of China and Asia-Pacific affairs, business hopes to see continued increased commitment from both sides on building sustainable strong economic ties to ensure mutual benefits, and supports the advancement of economic issues through meaningful bilateral dialogues such as the JCCT and the Strategic & Economic Dialogue.

Click on the links to read a USTR press release on the JCCT’s conclusion and a fact sheet on the meetings detailing key results.

 

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News Brief USCIB Urges Senate to Approve Inward Investment Bill

Joining with five other leading business groups, USCIB has urged the U.S. Senate to move expeditiously to adopt the “Global Investment in American Jobs” bill (S. 3274) sponsored by Senators John Kerry (D.-Mass.) and Bob Corker (R.-Tenn.). Companion legislation passed the House unanimously in mid-September.

In a letter sent today to every member of the Senate, USCIB and the business groups underlined the importance of strong legislation to improve America’s ability to attract job-creating foreign direct investment (FDI) in today’s competitive global environment.

Noting that U.S subsidiaries of foreign headquartered companies already employ more than five million Americans across the country and are major exporters, we urged the Senate to pass this broadly supported bipartisan legislation without delay. Doing so, the letter states, would send a clear signal to the world that the United States welcomes FDI, and is prepared to identify and resolve barriers that may impede our ability to attract much-needed global investment.

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